Friday, August 31, 2018

commodity market 31 th August 2018

Daily  News Letter – 31st    August – 2018
Commodity Market


GOLD – SILVER  - Rally likely to be extrend.

Gold  : Oct.      30170
 As mentioned in this column to avoid short sell at lower level and looks over sold and RSI trading below their major support level and finally last week it was come back from a low of 29423 and made a high of 2997 mark and finally closed above with good volume and added open interest.   Bullish trend continue with consider support 29950-30000  as long as hold buy on dip strategy. Higher level resistance at 30400-30500 watch out and profit booking and also selling opportunity.
Some Technical Indicators :

R A N G E

High

Low

Close

5 DMA

10 DMA

50 DMA

100 DMA

200 DMA


Last Week Range - MCX
29997
29423
29890


30221

30186

52 Week Range - MCX
31963
29268


---
52 Week Range COMEX
1365
1161
1212
1195
1189
1229
1270
1291




Silver : Sept – 30681
Last week some support seen at lower level due to weakness in dollar resulted all commodity flare up.  However, it has not participated as good as Gold did.  Over all lower level good buying opportunity and higher level resistance observed at 37100-37200 whereas a major supply zone, once stay above these level on sustainable basis, looks major up side in coming days.   Break down 37200  so short term down side with consider support 36500.
Some Technical Indicators :

R A N G E

High

Low

Close

5 DMA

10 DMA

50 DMA

100 DMA

200 DMA

Last Week Range - MCX
37172
36534
37005


38955
38943

52 Week Range - MCX
42304
36423

52 Week Range COMEX
18.16
14.395
14.692
14.67
14.70
15.440
15.965
16.324

Crude Oil – Sept  -4999
 Over all bullish trend  and we are long from the level of 4525 and our target open towards 5000 and above mark in coming days.   Over all time for consolidation and any dip to good opportunity to buy side.  On the positive front Crude are trading above 200 DMA in Comex which is placed at 70.84 and MCX 4310 so remain above do not think any short sell.   From 4525 to 5000   our target have been achieved and book profit.  However, more steams left in crude oil.
Some Technical Indicators:

R A N G E

High

Low

Close

5 DMA

10 DMA

50 DMA

100 DMA

200 DMA

Last Week Range - MCX
4857
4547
4809


4739

4271
52 Week Range - MCX
4947
4097


52 Week Range COMEX
80.50
50.60
75.63
74
72.91
74.45
74.96
70.84

Copper ---Sept  -432  
Last week after made a low 406 some pull back seen, but looks that this will not sustainable and again at higher level selling pressure will be emerged result it will move down towards 390 likely in coming days.  At higher level multiple resistance ahead which is placed at 420-425-430 range and its not easy task to cross these level in coming days.  On the other hand in LME it is trading below 50 DMA which is placed at 2.802 $  as long as remain below, bearish view continue. .   
 Bullish trend and sept price are trading above 8 to 10 points of August.  We may consider support 425 + and resistance 435.

Some Technical Indicators:

R A N G E

High

Low

Close

5 DMA

10 DMA

50 DMA

100 DMA

200 DMA

Last Week Range - MCX
418
406
416


437

448
52 Week Range - MCX
499
402.55


52 Week Range COMEX
3.297
2.562
2.691
2.673
2.656
2.802
2.955
3.043

Nickel –Sept.944
Overall trading range for the last few weeks 900 to 970 and unable to cross these level so till moving this range buy at support level and sell at resistance level.  Once crossover 970 and stay above with volume and good open interest, up side open towards 1000-1020-1050 mark in short term, on the lower front decent support 880-900 range where 50-200 DNA are placed and avoid any short sell these level. 
Lower level some support seen and bounce back from a level of 920 and decline to buy side with small stop loss 890  below, upper side stay above 970 to more added long for another 50 points sharp in screen.
Some Technical Indicators:

R A N G E

High

Low

Close

5 DMA

10 DMA

50 DMA

100 DMA

200 DMA

Last Week Range - MCX
960
921
934


971

890
52 Week Range - MCX
1066
900
--


52 Week Range COMEX
16687
10212
13430
13483
13414
13975
14248
13485



Natural Gas –Sept. 205

 As we are bullish above 195 and more long added 200 and last week it was made a high
209.40  and finally closed at 204 due to profit booking.  Over all trend is positive side because it is trading above 50-100-200 DMA above in Comex.   Reversal from 200 level….. as long as hold to buy side.
Some Technical Indicators:

R A N G E

High

Low

Close

5 DMA

10 DMA

50 DMA

100 DMA

200 DMA

Last Week Range - MCX
209.40
200.60
204.30


197

188.40
52 Week Range - MCX
209.40
185.70

52 Week Range COMEX
3.661
2.53
2.912
2.951
2.944
2.867
2.846
2.842

Aluminum –Sept. 151.20
After taking a support from lower level, bounce back seen and trading above weekly pvt point so short term up side, but higher level resistance zone continue 145 to 147 range .Above 145  bullish view.  Higher level 152-153 are major resistance zone and reversal to best opportunity to short side. Yesterday it was made a high 153.65 and reversal  seen
Some Technical Indicators :

R A N G E

High

Low

Close

5 DMA

10 DMA

50 DMA

100 DMA

200 DMA

Last Week Range - MCX
146.10
142.30
144.80


144.95

143
52 Week Range - MCX
175.25
136.50

52 Week Range COMEX
2715
1978
2093
2072
2060
2086
2187
2161

ZINC -  Sept.   176.20
After made a low 166.50 last week strong come back and finally it was made a high 179 mark which is quite remarkable of this commodity.  But upper side major resistance and supply zone which is placed at 180 to 185 range and as long as remain below, avoid any buying side.
Selling pressure continue at higher level 180-182 range and bullish move only above that level, down side short term support 175, if break these level more sell off.  So watch out this range 175 to 182 .   Higher level to sell side.
Some Technical Indicators :

R A N G E

High

Low

Close

5 DMA

10 DMA

50 DMA

100 DMA

200 DMA

Last Week Range - MCX
179
166.50
177.60


188.65

206.90
52 Week Range - MCX
198
164.60

52 Week Range COMEX
3595
2286
2536
2637
2425
2636
2886
3102


LEAD – Sept.   147
Over all  trading range  and multiple resistance ahead at higher level which is placed 149 to 152 range and remain below higher level good opportunity to short side.
Some Technical Indicators:

R A N G E

High

Low

Close

5 DMA

10 DMA

50 DMA

100 DMA

200 DMA

Last Week Range - MCX
146.10
139.50
144.80


154.70

159.20
52 Week Range - MCX
170
137.25

52 Week Range COMEX
2685
1921
2079
2030
2028
2206
2297
2400

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